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Posted on Nov 2, 2026 by Anton Vrba — No Comments ↓

New Model – Coming Soon
A fully technical S&P 500 market timer using a novel three-horizon trend analysis to identify sustained market movements, reduce exposure during declining markets and participate in rising markets — with relatively infrequent trading.
Investing in the stock market can deliver attractive long-term returns, but major market crashes can wipe out years of gains.
The challenge is not simply to make money in rising markets, but to protect your capital when markets turn down.
The iM-DrawdownShieldis designed to do both. It follows the S&P 500 during favourable market conditions and switches to defensive investments when the risk of a sustained decline increases. Its objective is to reduce major losses without sacrificing long-term investment performance.
In a historical simulation covering 1995–2026, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) experienced a maximum drawdown of 55.2%. The model’s dynamically selected Treasury ETF strategy reduced this to 19.6%, while achieving an annualised return of 12.1%, compared with 11.0% for SPY.