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Timing the TIAA Real Estate Account

  • In order to maximize returns one has to know when to enter and exit the TIAA Real Estate Account.
  • Our analysis shows that a firm sell signal arises when its 1-year rolling return moves below 0%.
  • A subsequent buy signal would be given when its 1-year rolling return moves from below to above 0%.

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Is the TIAA Real Estate Account about to Roll Over?

The TIAA Real Estate Account, despite showing good returns over the last four years, is a typical example of a fund with disappointing performance over the longer term. In order to maximize one’s returns one has to know when to enter and exit the fund. My analysis shows that TIAA Real Estate may peak in the second half of 2014 which would provide an early indication to reduce one’s exposure. A firm sell signal would arise when its 1-year rolling return moves below 0%.

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Posted in blogs, featured, Vanguard/TIAA CREF Blogs
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