Blog Archives
iM-Best Reports – 2/8/2016
Posted in pmp SPY-SH
Questioning the Best(SPY-SH) and Best(SSO-TLT) Signals.
Followers of Best(SPY-SH), Best(SSO-TLT), Combo3 and Combo3b please read this.
How Much More Will The Market Decline? The Trailing 12-Month Income Available Could Provide An Answer.
- The Trailing Twelve Months Income Available to Common Stocks (TTMIACS) of the S&P500 is tightly correlated to the S&P 500.
- TTMIACS has been declining since Feb-2015 when its 10-week moving average crossed its 40-week moving average to the downside.
- Exiting the stock market according to this indicator would have avoided major losses in 2001 and 2008.
- According to this indicator, a downwards potential remains in the S&P 500 with a possible low of 1660 in the next three months.
1/29/2016: Vanguard Systems
Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
Posted in vanguard
1/29/2016: Vanguard+TIAA Systems
Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
Posted in vang-tiaa
The Unemployment Rate is Not Signaling a Recession: Update February 5, 2016
A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the January figure of 4.9%, does not signal a recession now.
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With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
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