The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve may be steepening again, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicator COMP is lower from last week’s level. We have added MAC-AU for the Australian market.
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The BCI continues its upward trend to a level of 152.8, with the BCIp on a 100, by past performance, a recession is not in sight.
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The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve may resume its steepening trend, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicator COMP is little changed from last week’s level.

The BCI continues its upward trend to a level of 152.3 after strong employment reports and an even stronger rally of the S&P500

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested but the indicators may be rolling over, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve may be flattening, the gold model is not invested, but silver model is invested since last week. The recession indicator COMP is little changed from last week’s level.

Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not in a recession. The modified S&P Coppock is invested.

No sign of an oncoming recession. The BCI climing to a new high of 151.5 after a the gains in the S&P500, outweighing the increase in the continues claims this week. As we have a new high, BCIp is at 100.0

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested but the indicators may be rolling over, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve may be flattening, the gold model is not invested, but silver model is invested since last week. The recession indicator COMP is little changed from last week’s level.

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested but the indicators may be rolling over, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve may be flattening, and the gold model is not invested, but silver model is invested since last Monday. The recession indicator COMP is higher from last week’s level.