Blog Archives

Update 4-5-13

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested but the indicators may be rolling over, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds despite them peaking today, the yield curve may be flattening, and gold and silver models are not invested. The recession indicator COMP is lower from last week’s level.

Posted in uddates

Update 3-28-13

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds and intermediate duration bonds as well, the yield curve is trending steeper, and gold and silver models are not invested. The recession indicator COMP is almost unchanged from last week’s level.

Posted in uddates

Update 3-22-13

The IBH model produced a sell signal last week. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds and intermediate duration bonds as well, the yield curve is getting steeper, and gold and silver models are not invested. The recession indicator COMP gained a bit from last week’s level.

Posted in uddates

Update 3-15-13

The IBH model produced a basic-sell signal early this week and a few days later a sell-A signal. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds and intermediate duration bonds as well, the yield curve is getting steeper, and gold and silver models are not invested. The recession indicator COMP moved higher again.

Posted in signals, uddates

Update 3-8-13

All the stock market models are invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds and intermediate duration bonds as well, the yield curve seems to steepen, and gold and silver models are not invested. The recession indicator COMP moved higher.

Posted in uddates

Update 3-1-13

All the stock market models are invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve seems to steepen, and gold and silver models are not invested.
The most significant event was the decline of COMP.

Posted in uddates

Update 2-22-13

The BVR-model avoids high beta bonds and the yield curve model expects the yield curve to steepen.

Posted in samplerUpd, uddates

Update 2-15-13

The models remain invested in the stock market and avoid high beta bonds.

Posted in uddates

Update 2-8-13

Fig 2 IBH 2-8-2013ECRI reported the WLI at a level of 130.2 and the six months smoothed annualized growth WLIg at +8.9%, both numbers are higher from last week, as shown in Fig 2. One can see that the indicator graphs have a generally upward direction now which is usually the pattern for an upward bound market. The model is invested in the S&P500.
Read more >

Posted in uddates

Update 2-1-13

Gold would have to make a sustained move to $1700 and higher over the next few weeks for a buy signal, which could then appear earliest at the end of March, according to my projections.

Posted in uddates
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
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