Blog Archives

iM Update 8-23-13

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicators COMP is and iM-BCIg are lower from last week’s levels. MAC-AU is also invested

Posted in reg

iM-Best(SPY) Market Timing System

An algorithmic market timing system has been developed using the SPY (the ETF tracking the S&P 500) to generate trading signals for the stock market. This is a binary model – either IN or OUT of the market. This trading system produced 4 times more value than a continuous investment in SPY over the period from Jan-2-1999 to Aug-15-2013

Posted in deprecated

Best10 8-12-13

Best10 8-12-13Currently the portfolio holds 10 stocks, 7 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 29 days, and showing combined 4.42% average return to 8/12/2013
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Posted in reg bestx

iM Update 8-16-13

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicators COMP is lower and iM-BCIg a bit higher from last week’s levels. MAC-AU is also invested.

Posted in reg

iM-Best8+ Portfolio Management System

The Best8+ algorithm has been improved to achieve a CAGR of 60.27% to outperforming the the S&P 500 with dividends (SPY) 522 times, that is for an investment over a period from January 2, 1999 to May 31, 2013.

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Posted in blogs, featured

iM Update 8-9-13

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicators COMP and iM-BCIg are lower from last week’s levels. MAC-AU is also invested.

Posted in reg

(Deprecated) Best8+ Portfolio Management System

The Best8+ Best8+ algorithm has been improved to achieve a CAGR of 60.27% to outperforming the the S&P 500 with dividends (SPY) 522 times, that is for an investment over a period from January 2, 1999 to May 31, 2013. In comparison to this deprecated version that achieved a CAGR of 55.23% which outperformed the SPY by a factor of 333.
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Posted in deprecated

Best10 8-5-13

Best10 8-5-13 Currently the portfolio holds 10 stocks, 7 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 65 days, and showing combined 3.93% average return to 8/5/2013
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Posted in reg bestx

Monthly 8-2-13

Unemployment 8-2-13
Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not close to a recession. The indicator pattern is consistent with those from prior in-between recession periods.
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Posted in reg unemploy

iM Update 8-2-13

The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicators COMP and iM-BCIg are near last week’s levels. MAC-AU is also invested. The unemployment rate does not signal recession.

Posted in reg
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