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The BCI stands at 167.8 up from last week’s downward revised 167.8. The BCIg, the smoothed annualized growth of BCI, increased to 15.8 is also up from last week’s downward revised 15.1. This upward trend is mainly due to the continued reduction of the Insured Unemployed as reported by the DOL. This week’s BCI shows no recessionary trends.
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The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 245 days, and showing 14.58% return to 3/3/2014
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The unemployment rate recession model has been updated with the February UER of 6.7%.
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The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, The recession indicator COMP is higher from last week’s level, and iM-BCIg is also higherd from last week’s level. MAC-AU is invested. The bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested.
The BVR-model avoids high beta bonds (long-bonds) and also intermediate duration bonds.
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We offer three categories of membership – bronze, silver and gold at $20, $40 and $80 per month respectively, or discounted on a per year basis. The table to the left (just click on it) lists what you can access depending on the membership level you choose. All information not listed will remain free, however selected key articles could in future be restricted to a paid membership category.
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With the S&P 500 rallying to new highs and the decrease in the Continued Claims (Insured Unemployment), as reported by the DOL today, result in the BCI rising to a new all-time high of 166.9 for this business cycle. BCIg at 15.2 is also up from last week’s upward revised 14.6. This week’s BCI is indicates a growing economy.
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