Business Cycle Index:
The BCI stands at 167.8 up from last week’s downward revised 167.8. The BCIg, the smoothed annualized growth of BCI, increased to 15.8 is also up from last week’s downward revised 15.1. This upward trend is mainly due to the continued reduction of the Insured Unemployed as reported by the DOL. This week’s BCI shows no recessionary trends.