Anton Vrba | iMarketSignals

Posted on Apr 6, 2023 by Anton Vrba — 1 Comment ↓

Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions.
Our weekly Business Cycle Index would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions and signaled the Covid 2020 recession one week late.
The Department of Labor backward revised nearly two years of seasonal adjusted data.
The BCIg is now signalling a recession since mid March 2023 with a 12 weeks average lead time.
The BCIw is now signalling a recession, earliest in 5 weeks but not later than 17 weeks.