Anton Vrba | iMarketSignals

For what is considered to be a lagging indicator of the economy, the unemployment rate provides surprisingly good signals for the beginning and end of recessions.
This model, backtested to 1948, reliably provided recession signals.
The model, updated with the July 2019 rate of 3.7%, does not signal a recession.
However, if unemployment rate rises to 4.1% in the coming months the model would then signal recession.

Posted in UER

Monthly Update – August 2, 2019

Posted on Aug 2, 2019 by Anton Vrba — No Comments ↓

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Posted in month free

iM System Performance as of August 1, 2019

Posted on Aug 2, 2019 by Anton Vrba — No Comments ↓

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Posted in iM System Performance

No Sight of Next Recession: Business Cycle Index Update 8/1/2019

Posted on Aug 1, 2019 by Anton Vrba

Is your investment strategy protecting your assets from the next recession? Our Business Cycle Index is a tool to help you gauge recession risk.

Posted in BCI

BCI August 1, 2019

Posted on Aug 1, 2019 by Anton Vrba — No Comments ↓

iM-Best Reports – 7/28/2019

Posted on Jul 30, 2019 by Anton Vrba — No Comments ↓

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Posted in pmp SPY-SH

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