Currently the portfolio holds 10 stocks, 5 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 66 days, and showing combined 1.56% average return to 7/29/2013
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Blog Archives
Best10 7-29-13
Posted in reg bestx
Best10 7-22-13
Currently the portfolio holds 10 stocks, 7 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 59 days, and showing combined 1.8% average return to 7/22/2013
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Posted in reg bestx
iM Update 7-26-13
Please also see the Best10 weekly update on the [Systems][Best10 Portfolio Management Systems] page.
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Posted in uddates
iM Update 7-19-13
The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicators COMP and iM-BCIg are near last week’s levels. MAC-AU is also invested.
Posted in uddates
Best10 7-15-13
Currently the portfolio holds 10 stocks, 7 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 52 days, and showing combined 2.6% average return to 7/15/2013
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Posted in reg bestx
iM Update 7-12-13
Please also see the Best10 weekly update on the [Systems][Best10 Portfolio Management Systems] page.
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Posted in uddates
iM-Best10(S&P 1500): A Portfolio Management System for High Returns from the S&P 1500
Trading stock selected from the pool S&P1500 using the revised survivorship bias free Best10 portfolio management system would have generated returns of 49.2% for the period January 1999 to May 2013 and without draw-down protection 45.5%; both a multiple of the 3.8% that the SPY (the ETF tracking the S&P 500) produced over the same period.
iM Update 7-5-13
Market Signals Summary: The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicators COMP and iM-BCIg are both a bit lower from last week’s level. MAC-AU is also invested.
Posted in uddates
Monthly 7-5-13
Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not in a recession. The modified S&P Coppock is invested.
Posted in reg unemploy
Gold: How Much Lower Will it Go?
Gold has declined substantially and many commentators believe that the price will go much lower. But will it? The chart below shows the gold price plotted on a semi-log scale from 1968 to 2013, and the year-on-year percentage change of the price expressed in standard deviation terms for a rolling 10-year sample period. What strikes one is that the recent decline is not particularly spectacular in comparison to previous declines, and that the y-o-y percentage change of the price is now minus 2.67 standard deviations (sigma) away from the mean, the lowest that it ever got.
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