The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicator COMP is higher from last week’s level, but iM-BCIg is basically unchanged. MAC-AU is invested.
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Blog Archives
iM Update 11-22-13
Posted in reg
iM Update 11-15-13
The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicator COMP is lower from last week’s level, but iM-BCIg is unchanged. MAC-AU is invested.
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Best10 11-11-13
Currently the portfolio holds 10 stocks, 6 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 17 days, and showing combined 0.58% average return to 11/11/2013
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Posted in reg bestx
The Ultimate Death Cross – One Year Later
In July 2012 Albert Edwards, the closely followed investment strategist at Société Générale, warned that the S&P 500 was “on the verge of an ultimate death cross,” foretelling imminent major losses for the stock market, with the S&P 500 possibly seeing its index halved to 666 points. The ultimate death cross occurs when the 50-month moving average of the S&P moves below the 200-month moving average, or put another way, when the difference between these moving averages – the spread – becomes less than zero.
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Best(SPY-SH) 11-11-13
The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 126 days, and showing 8.03% return to 11/11/2013
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Posted in reg-best-spy
iM Update 11-8-13
The IBH stock market model is out of the market. The MAC stock market model is invested, the bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, the yield curve is steepening, the gold model is not invested, but the silver model is invested. The recession indicator COMP is lower from last week’s level, but iM-BCIg is higher. MAC-AU is invested.
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Posted in reg
Best10 11-4-13
Currently the portfolio holds 10 stocks, 7 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 23 days, and showing combined -0.24% average return to 11/4/2013
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Posted in reg bestx
iM-Combo2: A Small-Cap Model in Combination with iM-Best(SPY-SH)
Using a third party small-cap model from the web-based trading simulation platform in combination with our iM-Best(SPY-SH), we demonstrate the benefits of combining this model with iM-Best(SPY-SH), these include a reduced volatility, constant positive rolling returns, and high annualized returns with low drawdowns. The model was chosen because its algorithm does not include market-timing, and also because it holds 50 stocks, has a low annual turnover, and should be able to support a relatively high total portfolio size of $3.5-million on its own.
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Best(SPY-SH) 11-4-13
The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 119 days, and showing 7.73% return to 11/4/2013
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Posted in reg-best-spy
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
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