Blog Archives
iM-Best Reports – 10/19/2015
Posted in pmp SPY-SH
No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update October 15, 2015
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
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iM-Combo3b: A Model Combining the Best(SPY-SH), Best1(Sector SPDR) and BESTOGA3
- This model is similar to Combo3, but replaces Best(SSO-TLT) with BESTOGA3 which invests periodically in three of the so called “Vice” stocks of the S&P500.
- It combines equal weighted the two ETF models, Best(SPY-SH) and Best1(Select SPDR), with BESTOGA3.
- We demonstrate that this combination would have produced high annualized returns of about 28% with low drawdowns of about -12%. Also over any one year period it showed a minimum return of 10.9%.
- Additionally, due to the very high liquidity of its component ETFs and stocks, this combo can support a large dollar portfolio value.
- It has five positions, holding two ETFs, one from each ETF component model, and the three stocks from BESTOGA3.
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
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