Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
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Blog Archives
No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update October 12, 2017
Posted in BCI
10/2/2017: Vanguard+TIAA Systems
Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
Posted in vang-tiaa
10/2/2017: Vanguard Systems
Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
Posted in vanguard
The Unemployment Rate is Not Signaling a Recession: Update November 3, 2017
A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the October figure of 4.1%, does not signal a recession now.
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Posted in UER
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
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