The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 21 days, and showing 1.21% return to5/19/2014
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The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 21 days, and showing 1.21% return to5/19/2014
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The BVR-model avoids high beta bonds (long-bonds) and also intermediate duration bonds. The Bond Value Ratio is shown in Fig 4. The BVR is near last week’s level. According to the model, only when BVR turns upward after having been lower than the lower offset-line should one consider long bonds again.
The yield curve model shows the generally steepening trend of the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries yield spread. Figure 5 charts (i10 – i2). The general trend is up, as one can see, although the yield curve has flattened recently. FLAT and STPP are ETNs. STPP profits from a steepening yield curve and FLAT increases in value when the yield curve flattens. This model confirms the direction of the BVR.
The BCI at 168.8 is up from last week’s 168.5. However, the BCIg, the smoothed annualized growth of BCI, is down at 14.9 from last week’s 15.5.
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The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 14 days, and showing 1.77% return to5/12/2014
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The BVR-model avoids high beta bonds (long-bonds) and also intermediate duration bonds. The Bond Value Ratio is shown in Fig 4. The BVR is near last week’s level. According to the model, only when BVR turns upward after having been lower than the lower offset-line should one consider long bonds again.
The yield curve model shows the generally steepening trend of the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries yield spread. Figure 5 charts (i10 – i2). The general trend is up, as one can see, although the yield curve has flattened recently. FLAT and STPP are ETNs. STPP profits from a steepening yield curve and FLAT increases in value when the yield curve flattens. This model confirms the direction of the BVR.
The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 7 days, and showing 1.27% return to5/5/2014
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The unemployment rate recession model has been updated with the April UER of 6.3%.
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