Blog Archives

Best(SPY-SH) and Combo3 – 5/19/2014

Best(SPY-SH) 5-19-14The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 21 days, and showing 1.21% return to5/19/2014
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Posted in pmp SPY-SH

iM Update* – May 16, 2014

Fig4 bvr 5-16The BVR-model avoids high beta bonds (long-bonds) and also intermediate duration bonds. The Bond Value Ratio is shown in Fig 4. The BVR is near last week’s level. According to the model, only when BVR turns upward after having been lower than the lower offset-line should one consider long bonds again.

Fig5 yld 5-16The yield curve model shows the generally steepening trend of the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries yield spread. Figure 5 charts (i10 – i2). The general trend is up, as one can see, although the yield curve has flattened recently. FLAT and STPP are ETNs. STPP profits from a steepening yield curve and FLAT increases in value when the yield curve flattens. This model confirms the direction of the BVR.

 
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Posted in pmp paid update

iM Update – May 16, 2014

Posted in pmp free update

BCI May 15, 2014

BCI-5-15-14The BCI at 168.8 is up from last week’s 168.5. However, the BCIg, the smoothed annualized growth of BCI, is down at 14.9 from last week’s 15.5.
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Posted in pmp BCI

Best(SPY-SH) and Combo3 – 5/12/2014

Best(SPY-SH) 5-12-14The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 14 days, and showing 1.77% return to5/12/2014
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Posted in pmp SPY-SH

iM Update* – May 9, 2014

Fig 4 BVR 5-9-14The BVR-model avoids high beta bonds (long-bonds) and also intermediate duration bonds. The Bond Value Ratio is shown in Fig 4. The BVR is near last week’s level. According to the model, only when BVR turns upward after having been lower than the lower offset-line should one consider long bonds again.

Fig 5 Yield Curve 5-9-14The yield curve model shows the generally steepening trend of the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries yield spread. Figure 5 charts (i10 – i2). The general trend is up, as one can see, although the yield curve has flattened recently. FLAT and STPP are ETNs. STPP profits from a steepening yield curve and FLAT increases in value when the yield curve flattens. This model confirms the direction of the BVR.

 
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Posted in pmp paid update

iM Update – May 9, 2014

Posted in pmp free update

BCI May 8, 2014

BCI-5-8-14
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Posted in pmp BCI

Best(SPY-SH) and Combo3 – 5/5/2014

Best(SPY-SH) 5-5-14The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 7 days, and showing 1.27% return to5/5/2014
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Posted in pmp SPY-SH

Monthly April 2014

Unemployment Rate 5-2-14The unemployment rate recession model has been updated with the April UER of 6.3%.
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Posted in month free
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
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