Recession Indicators: A Stock Market Exit Strategy.
Investors with long-time horizons can also do well by only exiting the stock market at beginnings of recessions and returning to the market when the market is recovering. Recession indicators such as COMP are useful in identifying recession starts.
Silver outshines gold
The long-time average annual return from silver based on the signals from a modified Coppock indicator exceeded those from gold by a considerable margin, 19.7% for silver versus 14.9% for gold.
A new model for gold
A new model produced a compounded annual return of 17.58% for the period 1970-2012, this significantly better than the original model.