A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the October figure of 4.1%, does not signal a recession now.
Read more >
Blog Archives
The Unemployment Rate is Not Signaling a Recession: Update November 3, 2017
Posted in UER
11/1/2017: Vanguard Systems
Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
Posted in vanguard
11/1/2017: Vanguard+TIAA Systems
Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
Posted in vang-tiaa
No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update November 2, 2017
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >
Posted in BCI
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
read more ...
By the mere act of reading this page and navigating this site you acknowledge, agree to, and abide by the
Terms of Use / Disclaimer