Monthly Update – June 2017

Unemployment

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The Dynamic Linearly Detrended Enhanced Aggregate Spread:

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Coppock Indicator for the S&P500

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CAPE-Cycle-ID

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Fig-9a-7-7-2017Fig 9a depicts the CAPE-Cycle-ID and the year-on-year rate-of-change of the Shiller CAPE.  A model using this indicator invests in the market when the Cycle-ID is +2 or 0, and when the Cycle-ID equals -2 the model is in cash. This indicator is described here.

 

 

Trade Weighted USD

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TIAA Real Estate Account

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