Monthly January 2014
The unemployment rate recession model has been updated with the January UER of 6.6%.
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Monthly 8-2-13
Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not close to a recession. The indicator pattern is consistent with those from prior in-between recession periods.
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Monthly 7-5-13
Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not in a recession. The modified S&P Coppock is invested.
Monthly 6-7-13
Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not in a recession. The modified S&P Coppock is invested.