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Blog Archives
iM Update* – January 23, 2015
Posted in pmp paid update
The BCI Does Not Signal a Recession: Update January 22, 2014
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions. The BCI at 183.7 is down from last week’s 184.0. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg, at 16.9 is down from last week’s 17.7, and BCIp at 81.6 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
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The BCI Does Not Signal a Recession: Update January 15, 2014
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions. The BCI at 184.06 is near last week’s downward revised 184.05. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg, at 17.7 is down from last week’s 18.2, and BCIp at 85.2 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
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With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
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