Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
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Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
Latest iM-Systems performance tables for the seven systems are updated monthly
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Out of sample performance summary of our models for the past 1, 2, 4 and 13 week periods. The active active return indicates how the models over- or underperformed the benchmark ETF SPY. |
| The iM-Best(SPY-SH) model currently holds SPY, so far held for a period of 7 days, and showing a 4.08% return to 8/31/2015. Over the previous week the market value of Best(SPY-SH) gained 3.97% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/2/2009 would have grown to $404,374 which includes $30,580 cash and excludes $13,610 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Combo3 model currently holds SPY, TLT, and XLV, so far held for an average period of 249 days, and showing a 7.64% return to 8/31/2015. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Combo3 gained 0.89% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 2/3/2014 would have grown to $126,062 which includes $6,691 cash and excludes $1,357 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best8(S&P500 Min Vol)Tax-Efficient model currently holds 8 stocks, 5 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 153 days, and showing a 10.86% return to 8/31/2015. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best8(S&P 500)Tax-Eff. gained 2.86% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/2/2009 would have grown to $455,452 which includes $288 cash and excludes $4,939 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best10(VDIGX)-Trader model currently holds 10 stocks, 4 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 178 days, and showing a 1.92% return to 8/31/2015. Since inception, on 7/1/2014, the model gained 15.73% while the benchmark SPY gained 2.93% and the ETF VDIGX gained 2.31% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best10(VDIGX) gained 2.37% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/1/2014 would have grown to $115,726 which includes -$255 cash and excludes $552 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best10(S&P 1500) model currently holds 10 stocks, 3 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 9 days, and showing a -2.87% return to 8/31/2015. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best10 gained 3.50% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/2/2009 would have grown to $779,557 which includes -$6,025 cash and excludes $77,399 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best3x4(S&P 500 Min Vol) model currently holds 8 stocks, 2 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 31 days, and showing a 1.01% return to 8/31/2015. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best3x4 gained 4.40% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/15/2015 would have grown to $102,065 which includes $5,322 cash and excludes $173 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best2x4(S&P 500 Min Vol) model currently holds 5 stocks, 2 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 23 days, and showing a 1.26% return to 8/31/2015. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best2x4 gained 4.26% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/16/2015 would have grown to $98,420 which includes $627 cash and excludes $148 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best12(USMV)-Trader model currently holds 12 stocks, 0 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 64 days, and showing a -5.09% return to 8/31/2015. Since inception, on 7/1/2014, the model gained 20.14% while the benchmark SPY gained 2.93% and the ETF USMV gained 9.65% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)-Trader gained 2.79% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/1/2014 would have grown to $120,140 which includes $42 cash and excludes $1,280 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best12(USMV)Q1-Investor model currently holds 12 stocks, 5 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 181 days, and showing a -1.95% return to 8/31/2015. Since inception, on 1/5/2015, the model gained 1.83% while the benchmark SPY gained -1.09% and the ETF USMV gained 0.70% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q1 gained 2.69% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/5/2015 would have grown to $101,835 which includes $262 cash and excludes $210 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best12(USMV)Q2-Investor model currently holds 12 stocks, 1 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 130 days, and showing a -7.87% return to 8/31/2015. Since inception, on 3/31/2015, the model gained -4.49% while the benchmark SPY gained -4.62% and the ETF USMV gained -2.74% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q2 gained 2.66% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 3/31/2015 would have grown to $95,514 which includes -$66 cash and excludes $134 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best12(USMV)Q3-Investor model currently holds 12 stocks, 2 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 42 days, and showing a -5.16% return to 8/31/2015. Since inception, on 7/1/2014, the model gained 14.71% while the benchmark SPY gained 2.93% and the ETF USMV gained 9.65% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q3 gained 2.67% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/1/2014 would have grown to $114,705 which includes -$74 cash and excludes $421 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| The iM-Best12(USMV)Q4-Investor model currently holds 12 stocks, 7 of them winners, so far held for an average period of 271 days, and showing a 6.82% return to 8/31/2015. Since inception, on 9/30/2014, the model gained 9.97% while the benchmark SPY gained 1.55% and the ETF USMV gained 8.14% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q4 gained 2.86% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 9/30/2014 would have grown to $109,969 which includes $110 cash and excludes $196 spent on fees and slippage. | |
| Average Performance of iM-Best12(USMV)Q1+Q2+Q3+Q4-Investor resulted in an excess return of 17.15% over SPY. (see iM-USMV Investor Portfolio) | |
| The iM-Best(Short) model currently holds 5 position(s). Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best(Short) gained 0.43% at a time when SPY gained 4.31%. Over the period 1/2/2009 to 8/31/2015 the starting capital of $100,000 would have grown to $105,533 which includes $210,932 cash and excludes $19,932 spent on fees and slippage. |
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >