Stock-markets:
The MAC-US model invested the US stock markets in first week of February 2023.
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The MAC-AU model generated a buy signal end November 2023, and is invested from the Australian stock market.
This model and its application is described in MAC-Australia: A Moving Average Crossover System for Superannuation Asset Allocations.
Recession:
BCIg is not signaling a recession.
The growth of the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator does not signal a recession.
The Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) is an inverted state since beginning August 2022 and is progressing to a non-iverted state in a week or two.
A description of this indicator can be found here.
The iM-Low Frequency Timer switched to bonds on 9/26/2022.
A description of this indicator can be found here.