iM Update – February 18, 2022

 

Market Signals Summary:

The iM-HiLo exited the stock market 1/20/22.  The other indicators, the MAC US,   iM-GT Timer, and  S&P 500  Coppock Indicator  are invested in the stock markets.   The bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds. The Gold Coppock is in cash after a sell signal on 9/30/2021, however the iM-Gold Timer remains invested in Gold. The Silver Coppock model is also invested in silver.

Stock-markets:

Fig-2.-2-18-2022 The MAC-US model is invested in the stock market.

 

 

 

 

Fig-2.2-2-18-2022The 3-mo Hi-Lo Index Index of the S&P500 is at +1.94% (last week +3.33%), and has exited the stock market on 1/20/22.

 

 

 

Fig-2.3-2-18-2022The Coppock indicator for the S&P500 generated a buy signal end August 2021 and is invested in stocks.   This indicator is described here.

 

 

 

Fig-2.1-2-18-2022 The MAC-AU model is invested in the Australian stock market since mid July 2020.

This model and its application is described in MAC-Australia: A Moving Average Crossover System for Superannuation Asset Allocations.

 

Recession:

 

Fig-3.1a-2-18-2022 BCIg signals economic recovery.

 

 

 

Fig-3.1c-2-18-2022The growth of the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator  signals economic recovery.

 

 

 

Fig-3.2-2-18-2022The Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) is below last week’s level.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

 

 

Fig-3.3-2-18-2022The iM-Low Frequency Timer switched into stocks on 6/15/2020.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

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