iM Update – November 7, 2025

Stock-markets:

Fig-2.-11-7-2025 The MAC-US model is invested since mid June 2025,

.

 

 

 

 

To view this premium content requires membership category: Bronze or higher. However, it can be freely viewed after 12-05-2025 16:00 (New York), or please login or register
To view this premium content requires membership category: Bronze or higher. However, it can be freely viewed after 12-05-2025 16:00 (New York), or please login or register
Fig-2.1-11-7-2025 The MAC-AU model is dis-invested from the Australian stock market sine end April 2025.

This model and its application is described in MAC-Australia: A Moving Average Crossover System for Superannuation Asset Allocations.

 

Recession:

 

Fig-3.1a-11-7-2025   BCIg is not signaling a recession.

 

 

 

Fig-3.1c-11-7-2025The growth of the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator does not signal a recession.

 

 

 

Fig-3.2-11-7-2025The Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) is no longer inverted and the curve is steepening.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

 

 

Fig-3.3-11-7-2025The iM-Low Frequency Timer switched to bonds on 9/26/2022.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

Posted in pmp free update
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
By the mere act of reading this page and navigating this site you acknowledge, agree to, and abide by the Terms of Use / Disclaimer