A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the September figure of 5.9%, does not signal a recession now.
Read more >
Blog Archives
The Unemployment Rate is Not Signaling a Recession: Update October 3, 2014
Posted in UER
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
read more ...
By the mere act of reading this page and navigating this site you acknowledge, agree to, and abide by the
Terms of Use / Disclaimer