Blog Archives

No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update April 28, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
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Posted in BCI, Publish

No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update April 21, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
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Posted in BCI, Publish

No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update April 14, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >

Posted in BCI, Publish

No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update April 7, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >

Posted in BCI, Publish

The Unemployment Rate is Not Signaling a Recession: Update April 1, 2016

A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the March figure of 5%, does not signal a recession now.
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Posted in Publish, UER

No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update March 31, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >

Posted in BCI, Publish

A New All-Time High for iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update March 24, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >

Posted in BCI, Publish

No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update March 17, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >

Posted in BCI, Publish

No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update March 10, 2016

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
Read more >

Posted in BCI, Publish

The Unemployment Rate is Not Signaling a Recession: Update March 4, 2016

A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the February figure of 4.9%, does not signal a recession now.
Read more >

Posted in Publish, UER
With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
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