iM-Best Reports – 2/5/2018

Performance-wk-2-6-2018 Performance-mth-2-6-2018 Out of sample performance summary of our models for the past 1, 2, 4 and 13 week periods. The active active return indicates how the models over- or underperformed the benchmark ETF SPY. Also the YTD, and the 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year annualized returns are shown in the second table
fig1-SPY-SH-2-6-2018
iM-Best(SPY-SH).R1: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.1%, and for the last 12 months is 17.2%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of Best(SPY-SH) gained -7.17% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/2/2009 would have grown to $559,007 which includes $10,032 cash and excludes $15,358 spent on fees and slippage.
fig-2-Combo3-2-6-2018
iM-Combo3.R1: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -0.6%, and for the last 12 months is 21.3%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Combo3.R1 gained -8.77% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 2/3/2014 would have grown to $157,105 which includes -$2,740 cash and excludes $3,552 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-15.Combo5-2-6-2018
iM-Combo5: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -0.2%, and for the last 12 months is 27.1%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Combo5 gained -9.75% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 2/22/2016 would have grown to $127,742 which includes -$2,175 cash and excludes $661 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-8.VDIGXtrade-2-6-2018Fig-8.1.VDIGXtrade-2-6-2018
iM-Best10(VDIGX)-Trader: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.7%, and for the last 12 months is 17.3%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Since inception, on 7/1/2014, the model gained 75.22% while the benchmark SPY gained 44.71% and VDIGX gained 39.06% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best10(VDIGX) gained -8.83% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/1/2014 would have grown to $175,079 which includes $1,613 cash and excludes $1,956 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-4.Bestoga3-2-6-2018
iM-BESTOGA-3: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -3.0%, and for the last 12 months is 6.6%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-BESTOGA-3 gained -5.46% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 2/3/2014 would have grown to $224,912 which includes $2,123 cash and excludes $2,007 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-18.HiD-LoV-2-6-2018
iM-Best7(HiD-LoV): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.2%, and for the last 12 months is 6.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-BESTOGA-3 gained -5.79% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $112,008 which includes $377 cash and excludes $1,590 spent on fees and slippage.
fig29im6-cap-strg-2-6-2018
iM 6-Stock Capital Strength Portfolio: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.9%, and for the last 12 months is 33.0%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM 6-Stock Capital Strength Portfolio gained -5.72% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 10/28/2016 would have grown to $148,597 which includes $596 cash and excludes $630 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-17.BestogaX5-2-6-2018
iM-BestogaX5-System: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 3.5%, and for the last 12 months is 14.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-BestogaX5-System gained -4.89% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 3/28/2016 would have grown to $116,007 which includes $4,871 cash and excludes $966 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-7.USMVtrade-2-6-2018Fig-7.1.USMVtrade-2-6-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)-Trader: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -0.3%, and for the last 12 months is 16.5%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Since inception, on 6/30/2014, the model gained 70.62% while the benchmark SPY gained 44.71% and the ETF USMV gained 48.93% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)-Trader gained -5.94% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2014 would have grown to $170,202 which includes $883 cash and excludes $3,822 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-9.USMVQ1-2-6-2018 Fig-9.1.USMVQ1-2-6-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q1-Investor: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 3.3%, and for the last 12 months is 26.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Since inception, on 1/5/2015, the model gained 66.78% while the benchmark SPY gained 39.07% and the ETF USMV gained 36.77% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q1 gained -4.65% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/5/2015 would have grown to $166,748 which includes $434 cash and excludes $926 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-10.USMVQ2-2-6-2018 Fig-10.1.USMVQ2-2-6-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q2-Investor: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 0.8%, and for the last 12 months is 14.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Since inception, on 3/30/2015, the model gained 36.75% while the benchmark SPY gained 34.10% and the ETF USMV gained 32.10% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q2 gained -4.89% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 3/30/2015 would have grown to $136,712 which includes $1,029 cash and excludes $874 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-5.USMVQ3-2-6-2018 Fig-5.1.USMVQ3-2-6-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q3-Investor: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.0%, and for the last 12 months is 9.8%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Since inception, on 7/1/2014, the model gained 75.87% while the benchmark SPY gained 44.71% and the ETF USMV gained 48.93% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q3 gained -5.79% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/1/2014 would have grown to $175,866 which includes $717 cash and excludes $1,294 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-6.USMVQ4-2-6-2018Fig-6.1.USMVQ4-2-6-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q4-Investor: Since inception, on 9/29/2014, the model gained 73.99% while the benchmark SPY gained 42.53% and the ETF USMV gained 46.87% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q4 gained -4.36% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 9/29/2014 would have grown to $173,658 which includes $357 cash and excludes $1,197 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-10.USMV-Portfolio-vs-SPY-2-6-2018
Average Performance of iM-Best12(USMV)Q1+Q2+Q3+Q4-Investor resulted in an excess return of 41.49% over SPY. (see iM-USMV Investor Portfolio)
fig-3-Short-2-6-2018
iM-Best(Short): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -0.7%, and for the last 12 months is -5.6%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best(Short) gained 0.47% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. Over the period 1/2/2009 to 2/5/2018 the starting capital of $100,000 would have grown to $90,547 which includes $124,943 cash and excludes $23,629 spent on fees and slippage.
fig25-Best2MCsETF-2-6-2018
iM-Best2 MC-Score ETF System: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -3.3%, and for the last 12 months is 9.8%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Best2 MC-Score ETF System gained -6.41% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $108,709 which includes $743 cash and excludes $115 spent on fees and slippage.
fig26-Best4MCsVang-2-6-2018
iM-Best4 MC-Score Vanguard System: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -5.6%, and for the last 12 months is 3.6%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Best4 MC-Score Vanguard System gained -5.30% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $104,625 which includes $3,320 cash and excludes $00 spent on fees and slippage.
fig21-imc-sh-rsp-2-6-2018
iM-Composite (SH-RSP) Timer: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.8%, and for the last 12 months is 13.2%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Composite (SH-RSP) Timer gained -6.86% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $127,698 which includes $2,172 cash and excludes $513 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-20-imc-spy-ief-2-6-2018
iM-Composite (SPY-IEF) Timer: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.1%, and for the last 12 months is 18.7%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Composite (SPY-IEF) Timer gained -7.21% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $131,882 which includes $1,500 cash and excludes $1,390 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-12-vix-zif-2-6-2018
iM-VIX Timer with ZIV: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -4.0%, and for the last 12 months is 53.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-VIX Timer with ZIV gained -15.66% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $168,934 which includes $110 cash and excludes $579 spent on fees and slippage.
fig22-imc-gld-stk-bnd-2-6-2018
iM-Composite(Gold-Stocks-Bond) Timer: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 2.6%, and for the last 12 months is 20.0%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Composite(Gold-Stocks-Bond) Timer gained -0.37% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $132,055 which includes $53 cash and excludes $1,955 spent on fees and slippage.
fig23iM-lo-turn-over-2-6-2018
iM-Low Turnover Composite Timer Combo: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -0.3%, and since inception 6.8%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 14.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Low Turnover Composite Timer Combo gained -2.54% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 3/24/27 would have grown to $106,812 which includes $1,612 cash and excludes $74 spent on fees and slippage.
fig28-im-min-dd-2-6-2018
iM-Min Drawdown Combo: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -0.9%, and since inception 7.0%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 14.1% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Min Drawdown Combo gained -4.55% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 4/5/2017 would have grown to $106,961 which includes $1,943 cash and excludes $196 spent on fees and slippage.
fig27-im-5etf-trader-2-6-2018
iM-5ETF Trader (includes leveraged ETFs): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -2.4%, and for the last 12 months is 34.8%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-5ETF Trader (includes leveraged ETFs) gained -12.95% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 10/30/2016 would have grown to $158,806 which includes $1,064 cash and excludes $1,030 spent on fees and slippage.
fig24-im-std-5etf-trader-2-6-2018
iM-Standard 5ETF Trader (excludes leveraged ETFs): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.4%, and for the last 12 months is 16.8%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was -1.1% and 17.3% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Standard 5ETF Trader (excludes leveraged ETFs) gained -6.94% at a time when SPY gained -7.29%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 10/30/2016 would have grown to $123,913 which includes $2,002 cash and excludes $880 spent on fees and slippage.
Posted in pmp SPY-SH

Leave a Reply

With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
By the mere act of reading this page and navigating this site you acknowledge, agree to, and abide by the Terms of Use / Disclaimer