iM-Best Reports – 10/15/2018

Performance-wk-10-16-2018 Performance-mth-10-16-2018 Out of sample performance summary of our models for the past 1, 2, 4 and 13 week periods. The active active return indicates how the models over- or underperformed the benchmark ETF SPY. Also the YTD, and the 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year annualized returns are shown in the second table
fig1-SPY-SH-10-16-2018
iM-Best(SPY-SH).R1: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 3.7%, and for the last 12 months is 9.6%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of Best(SPY-SH) gained -4.68% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/2/2009 would have grown to $583,389 which includes -$4,925 cash and excludes $17,694 spent on fees and slippage.
fig-2-Combo3-10-16-2018
iM-Combo3.R1: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 1.9%, and for the last 12 months is 9.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Combo3.R1 gained -6.08% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 2/3/2014 would have grown to $160,789 which includes -$866 cash and excludes $4,125 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-15.Combo5-10-16-2018
iM-Combo5: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 3.6%, and for the last 12 months is 11.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Combo5 gained -6.14% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 2/22/2016 would have grown to $132,280 which includes $634 cash and excludes $1,039 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-8.VDIGXtrade-10-16-2018Fig-8.1.VDIGXtrade-10-16-2018
iM-Best10(VDIGX)-Trader: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 6.2%, and for the last 12 months is 13.0%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Since inception, on 7/1/2014, the model gained 89.36% while the benchmark SPY gained 52.42% and VDIGX gained 47.45% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best10(VDIGX) gained -3.78% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/1/2014 would have grown to $189,265 which includes $87 cash and excludes $2,383 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-4.Bestoga3-10-16-2018
iM-BESTOGA-3: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -19.5%, and for the last 12 months is -13.5%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-BESTOGA-3 gained -2.18% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 2/3/2014 would have grown to $186,548 which includes $1,421 cash and excludes $3,076 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-18.HiD-LoV-10-16-2018
iM-Best7(HiD-LoV): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 4.6%, and for the last 12 months is 8.7%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-BESTOGA-3 gained -2.14% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $118,262 which includes $248 cash and excludes $2,377 spent on fees and slippage.
fig29im6-cap-strg-10-16-2018
iM 6-Stock Capital Strength Portfolio: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 4.2%, and for the last 12 months is 13.3%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM 6-Stock Capital Strength Portfolio gained -4.62% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 10/28/2016 would have grown to $157,777 which includes $1,816 cash and excludes $712 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-17.BestogaX5-10-16-2018
iM-BestogaX5-System: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 3.7%, and for the last 12 months is 9.6%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-BestogaX5-System gained -1.63% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 3/28/2016 would have grown to $116,240 which includes $723 cash and excludes $1,363 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-7.USMVtrade-10-16-2018Fig-7.1.USMVtrade-10-16-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)-Trader: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 12.3%, and for the last 12 months is 17.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Since inception, on 6/30/2014, the model gained 92.01% while the benchmark SPY gained 52.42% and the ETF USMV gained 59.87% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)-Trader gained -3.88% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2014 would have grown to $191,839 which includes $68 cash and excludes $4,585 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-9.USMVQ1-10-16-2018 Fig-9.1.USMVQ1-10-16-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q1-Investor: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 9.8%, and for the last 12 months is 15.6%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Since inception, on 1/5/2015, the model gained 77.27% while the benchmark SPY gained 46.47% and the ETF USMV gained 46.82% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q1 gained -4.12% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 1/5/2015 would have grown to $177,096 which includes $335 cash and excludes $1,290 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-10.USMVQ2-10-16-2018 Fig-10.1.USMVQ2-10-16-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q2-Investor: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 10.7%, and for the last 12 months is 13.3%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Since inception, on 3/30/2015, the model gained 50.09% while the benchmark SPY gained 41.25% and the ETF USMV gained 41.80% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q2 gained -4.66% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 3/30/2015 would have grown to $149,947 which includes $230 cash and excludes $1,125 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-5.USMVQ3-10-16-2018 Fig-5.1.USMVQ3-10-16-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q3-Investor: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 2.0%, and for the last 12 months is 7.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Since inception, on 7/1/2014, the model gained 81.30% while the benchmark SPY gained 52.42% and the ETF USMV gained 59.87% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q3 gained -4.46% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 7/1/2014 would have grown to $181,085 which includes $301 cash and excludes $1,653 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-6.USMVQ4-10-16-2018Fig-6.1.USMVQ4-10-16-2018
iM-Best12(USMV)Q4-Investor: Since inception, on 9/29/2014, the model gained 92.61% while the benchmark SPY gained 50.12% and the ETF USMV gained 57.66% over the same period. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best12(USMV)Q4 gained -4.10% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 9/29/2014 would have grown to $192,534 which includes $780 cash and excludes $1,435 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-10.USMV-Portfolio-vs-SPY-10-16-2018
Average Performance of iM-Best12(USMV)Q1+Q2+Q3+Q4-Investor resulted in an excess return of 45.88% over SPY. (see iM-USMV Investor Portfolio)
fig-3-Short-10-16-2018
iM-Best(Short): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -5.3%, and for the last 12 months is -7.9%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of iM-Best(Short) gained 0.37% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. Over the period 1/2/2009 to 10/15/2018 the starting capital of $100,000 would have grown to $86,372 which includes $103,196 cash and excludes $24,712 spent on fees and slippage.
fig25-Best2MCsETF-10-16-2018
iM-Best2 MC-Score ETF System: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -0.4%, and for the last 12 months is 4.1%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Best2 MC-Score ETF System gained -3.19% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $111,905 which includes $55 cash and excludes $121 spent on fees and slippage.
fig26-Best4MCsVang-10-16-2018
iM-Best4 MC-Score Vanguard System: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -1.8%, and for the last 12 months is 0.1%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Best4 MC-Score Vanguard System gained -3.03% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $108,849 which includes $5,697 cash and excludes $00 spent on fees and slippage.
fig21-imc-sh-rsp-10-16-2018
iM-Composite (SH-RSP) Timer: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 0.9%, and for the last 12 months is 6.0%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Composite (SH-RSP) Timer gained -4.55% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $131,097 which includes $3,838 cash and excludes $513 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-20-imc-spy-ief-10-16-2018
iM-Composite (SPY-IEF) Timer: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 4.1%, and for the last 12 months is 10.1%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Composite (SPY-IEF) Timer gained -4.56% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $138,211 which includes $2,658 cash and excludes $1,390 spent on fees and slippage.
Fig-12-vix-zif-10-16-2018
iM-VIX Timer with ZIV: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 18.7%, and for the last 12 months is 39.3%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-VIX Timer with ZIV gained -7.58% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $208,832 which includes -$2,251 cash and excludes $2,856 spent on fees and slippage.
fig22-imc-gld-stk-bnd-10-16-2018
iM-Composite(Gold-Stocks-Bond) Timer: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -6.1%, and for the last 12 months is -6.3%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Composite(Gold-Stocks-Bond) Timer gained 3.11% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 6/30/2016 would have grown to $120,826 which includes $123 cash and excludes $1,956 spent on fees and slippage.
fig23iM-lo-turn-over-10-16-2018
iM-Low Turnover Composite Timer Combo: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is -3.3%, and for the last 12 months is -1.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Low Turnover Composite Timer Combo gained -0.41% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 3/24/27 would have grown to $103,581 which includes $678 cash and excludes $76 spent on fees and slippage.
fig28-im-min-dd-10-16-2018
iM-Min Drawdown Combo: The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 1.1%, and for the last 12 months is 4.5%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Min Drawdown Combo gained -1.70% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 4/5/2017 would have grown to $108,936 which includes $1,933 cash and excludes $407 spent on fees and slippage.
fig27-im-5etf-trader-10-16-2018
iM-5ETF Trader (includes leveraged ETFs): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 4.6%, and for the last 12 months is 14.4%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-5ETF Trader (includes leveraged ETFs) gained -8.19% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 10/30/2016 would have grown to $170,243 which includes $1,874 cash and excludes $1,030 spent on fees and slippage.
fig24-im-std-5etf-trader-10-16-2018
iM-Standard 5ETF Trader (excludes leveraged ETFs): The model’s out of sample performance YTD is 2.7%, and for the last 12 months is 8.3%. Over the same period the benchmark SPY performance was 4.2% and 9.6% respectively. Over the previous week the market value of the iM-Standard 5ETF Trader (excludes leveraged ETFs) gained -4.42% at a time when SPY gained -4.66%. A starting capital of $100,000 at inception on 10/30/2016 would have grown to $128,929 which includes $3,638 cash and excludes $880 spent on fees and slippage.
Posted in pmp SPY-SH

Leave a Reply

With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
By the mere act of reading this page and navigating this site you acknowledge, agree to, and abide by the Terms of Use / Disclaimer