iM Update* – April 1, 2016

Bond-market:

The BVR-model avoids high beta bonds (long-bonds) and also intermediate duration bonds.

The Bond Value Ratio is shown in Fig 4.  The BVR is up from last week’s level. According to the model, only when BVR turns upward after having been lower than the lower offset-line should one consider long bonds again.

The Yield Curve:

The yield curve model indicates the trend of the 10-year and 2-year Treasuries yield spread. Figure 5 charts (i10 – i2)) and after the spread appeared to form a trough in the first half of 2015, it is now continuing its downward trend.     FLAT and STPP are ETNs.  STPP profits from a steepening yield curve and FLAT increases in value when the yield curve flattens.  This model confirms the direction of the BVR.

 

Gold:

The modified Coppock Gold indicator shown in Fig 6. This model generated a buy end February 2016 and is invested in gold.

This indicator is described in Is it Time to Buy Gold Again? – Wait for the buy signal ……. 

 

 

The iM GOLD-TIMER is invested in gold.

This indicator is described in the article: The iM Gold-Timer

 

Silver:

The modified Coppock Silver indicator shown in Fig 7 and is currently invested.

This indicator is described in Silver – Better Than Gold: A Modified Coppock Indicator for Silver.