BCI Feb 13, 2014

Business Cycle Index:

 

BCI-1-2-13-14The iM Business Cycle Indicator (BCI) is at 161.7 marginally up from last weeks  revised 162.5.
BCIg fell to 12.8 from last week’s revised 14.1.

Last week we introduce the BCIw, a weeks to recession indicator read more

 

BCI-2-2-13-14The derived off peak indicator BCIp at 48.3, which translated to the BCIw as an equivalent 27 weeks possible lead to a recession with a remote probability of a recession occurring. The statistics from previous periods prior to recessions show that even with these downward trending figures it is too early to make a recession call.

Posted in pmp BCI, reg BCI

Leave a Reply

With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
By the mere act of reading this page and navigating this site you acknowledge, agree to, and abide by the Terms of Use / Disclaimer
Share This