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Blog Archives
iM’s BCI Does Not Signal a Recession: Update January 1, 2014
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions. The BCI at 185.4 is up from last week’s 184.9. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg, expressed to one decimal place at 18.6 is down from last week’s 19.1, and BCIp at 97.1 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
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Posted in BCI
BCI January 1, 2015
The BCI at 185.4 is up from last week’s 184.9. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg, expressed to one decimal place at 18.6 is down from last week’s 19.1, and BCIp at 97.1 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
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Posted in pmp BCI
iM’s BCI Does Not Signal a Recession: Update December 25 2014
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions. The BCI at 184.9 is up from last week’s downwards revised 183.9. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg, expressed to one decimal place at 19.1 is down from last week’s 19.1, and BCIp at 92.8 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
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Posted in BCI
BCI December 25, 2014
The BCI at 184.9 is up from last week’s downwards revised 183.9. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg, expressed to one decimal place at 19.1 is down from last week’s downward revised 19.8, and BCIp at 92.8 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
Read more >
Posted in pmp BCI
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