iM Update – July 16, 2021

 

Market Signals Summary:

The MAC-US and the 3-mo Hi-Lo are invested in the stock market. The bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds. The Gold Coppock remains in gold as is the the iM-Gold Timer after a buy signal on 4/5/2021. The Silver Coppock model is also invested in silver.

The iM-GT Timer, based on Google Search Trends volume, switched into stocks on 6/1/2021

Stock-markets:

Fig-2.-7-16-2021 The MAC-US model is invested in the stock market.

 

 

 

 

Fig-2.2-7-16-2021The 3-mo Hi-Lo Index Index of the S&P500 at +7.48% is above last week’s +7.20%, and is in the market since 11/10/2020..

 

 

 

Fig-2.3-7-16-2021The Coppock indicator for the S&P500 entered  the market on 5/9/2019 and is invested and generated a new buy signal on 8/20/20.   This indicator is described here.

 

 

 

Fig-2.1-7-16-2021 The MAC-AU model is invested in the Australian stock market since mid July 2020.

This model and its application is described in MAC-Australia: A Moving Average Crossover System for Superannuation Asset Allocations.

 

Recession:

 

Fig-3.1a-7-16-2021 BCIg signals economic recovery.

 

 

 

 

Fig-3.1b-7-16-2021The growth of the American Chemical Council’s Chemical Activity Barometer signals economic recovery

 

 

 

Fig-3.1c-7-16-2021The growth of the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator  signals economic recovery.

 

 

 

Fig-3.2-7-16-2021The Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) is below last week’s level.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

 

 

Fig-3.3-7-16-2021The iM-Low Frequency Timer switched into stocks on 6/15/2020.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

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