Business Cycle Index
The BCI at 193.0 is marginally higher than last week’s 192.9. However, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 11.0 is lower compared to last week’s 11.3, and BCIp at 84.8 indicates that for this business cycle the BCI is lower than its previous peak. Please also refer to the BCI page
No recession is signaled.