Business Cycle Index
The BCI at 193.9 is higher than last week’s 193.0. However, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 10.8 is lower compared to last week’s 10.9, and BCIp at 92 indicates that for this business cycle the BCI is marginally lower than its previous peak. Please also refer to the BCI page
No recession is signaled.