iM Update -July 1, 2022

 

Market Signals Summary:

The MAC US, Hi-Lo Index of the S&P 500, iM-FT Timer as well as the MAC-AU are dis-invested from the markets. The  S&P 500  Coppock Indicator remains invested in the  stock markets.   The bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds. The Gold Coppock is invested in gold, so is the iM-Gold Timer. The Silver Coppock model is also invested in silver.

Stock-markets:

Fig-2.-7-1-2022 The MAC-US model exited the US stock markets end April 2022.

 

 

 

 

Fig-2.2-7-1-2022The 3-mo Hi-Lo Index Index of the S&P500 is at -11.4% (last week -12.25%), and has exited the stock market on 1/20/22.

 

 

 

Fig-2.3-7-1-2022The Coppock indicator for the S&P500 generated a buy signal end August 2021 and is invested in stocks.   This indicator is described here.

 

 

 

Fig-2.1-7-1-2022 The MAC-AU model generated a sell signal mid June and is not invested the Australian stock market.

This model and its application is described in MAC-Australia: A Moving Average Crossover System for Superannuation Asset Allocations.

 

Recession:

 

Fig-3.1a-7-1-2022 BCIg does not signal a recession.

 

 

 

Fig-3.1c-7-1-2022The growth of the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicator does not signal a recession.

 

 

 

Fig-3.2-7-1-2022The Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) is below last week’s level.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

 

 

Fig-3.3-7-1-2022The iM-Low Frequency Timer switched into stocks on 6/15/2020.

A description of this indicator can be found here.

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