Market Signals Summary:
The MAC-US model is invested. The “3-mo Hi-Lo Index of the S&P500” generated a buy signal on 6/12/2018 and is invested in the markets. The monthly updated S&P500 Coppock indicator is also invested. The MAC-AU is also invested. The recession indicators COMP and iM-BCIg do not signal a recession. The bond market model avoids high beta (long) bonds, and the yield curve is flattening and signaled buy FLAT end March 2018. The gold Coppock model is invested, however the silver model is in cash since early August 2018. The iM-Gold Timer is in gold since 7/10/2017.
The MAC-US model generated a buy-signal 4/5/2016 and thus is invested in the stock-markets. The sell-spread (red graph) is above last week’s level and has to fall below zero to signal a sell.
The 3-mo Hi-Lo Index of the S&P500 is below last week’s level at 9.55% (last week 10.09%) and is invested in the market since 6/12/2018.
This model and its application is described in MAC-Australia: A Moving Average Crossover System for Superannuation Asset Allocations.
Recession:Figure 3 shows the COMP up from last week’s downward revised level. No recession is indicated. COMP can be used for stock market exit timing as discussed in this article The Use of Recession Indicators in Stock Market Timing.
Please also refer to the BCI page
A description of this indicator can be found here.