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Blog Archives
iM-Best Reports – 5/18/2015
Posted in pmp SPY-SH
No Recession Is Signaled By iM’s Business Cycle Index: Update May 14, 2015
Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions.
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The Unemployment Rate is Not Signaling a Recession: Update May 8, 2015
A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the April figure of 5.4%, does not signal a recession now.
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With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act:
We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers,
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