Monthly Archives: August 2019

Good Returns From Switching Between High Yield Bonds And Treasuries According To Stock Market Conditions.

  • The iM-Bond Market Trader exploits the fact that, generally, when equity returns are good high yield bonds outperform investment grade bonds.
  • When equity performs well the model invests in one of the high yield bond ETFs HYG, JNK, or EMB.
  • If stock market climate deteriorates the model switches to Treasury Bond ETF IEF.
  • Backtesting over the preceding 20 years the model showed a simulated annualized return of 14.6% with a maximum drawdown of -9.6%, versus 5.0% and -9.3% for benchmark ETF BND, respectively.
  • Simulations also show that the model’s returns over any calendar year are positive and exceeded those of BND.

This model uses only four fixed income ETFs:
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With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
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