Monthly Archives: August 2018

Timing the Market with Google Trends Search Volume Data

  • Past research suggests that the relative change in the volume of Google searches for financial terms such as “debt” or “stocks” can be used to anticipate stock market trends.
  • In this analysis the search term “debt” was used to obtain monthly search volume data from Google Trends.
  • The analysis shows, that a decrease in search volume typically preceded price increases of the S&P 500 index, and vice versa.
  • Switching between ETF (SPY) and ETF (IEF) based on monthly search volume data from 2005 to 2018, would have made a profit of 634% versus 220% for buy-and-hold SPY.

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