Monthly Archives: February 2016

How Much More Will The Market Decline? The Trailing 12-Month Income Available Could Provide An Answer.

  • The Trailing Twelve Months Income Available to Common Stocks (TTMIACS) of the S&P500 is tightly correlated to the S&P 500.
  • TTMIACS has been declining since Feb-2015 when its 10-week moving average crossed its 40-week moving average to the downside.
  • Exiting the stock market according to this indicator would have avoided major losses in 2001 and 2008.
  • According to this indicator, a downwards potential remains in the S&P 500 with a possible low of 1660 in the next three months.

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