Monthly Archives: January 2015

The BCI Does Not Signal a Recession: Update January 22, 2014

Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions. The BCI at 183.7 is down from last week’s 184.0. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg,  at 16.9 is down from last week’s 17.7, and BCIp at 81.6 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
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