Knowing when the U.S. Economy is heading for recession is paramount for successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI) would have provided early reliably warnings for the past seven recessions. The BCI at 184.1 is down from last week’s 185.4. No recession is signaled by both the derived indicators; BCIg, expressed to one decimal place at 18.1 is down from last week’s 18.6, and BCIp at 86.6 indicates that, for this business cycle, BCI is slightly down from its previous peak.
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