Monthly Update Archive

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Monthly January 2014

Fig 8 UER 2-7-14The unemployment rate recession model has been updated with the January UER of 6.6%.
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Monthly December 2013

 
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Monthly 12-6-13

 
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Monthly 11-8-13

Coppock S&P500
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Monthly 10-25-13

Coppock S&P500
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Monthly 10-4-13

Coppock S&P500 10-4-13
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Monthly 9-6-13

Unemployment 9-6--13
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Monthly 8-2-13

Unemployment 8-2-13
Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not close to a recession. The indicator pattern is consistent with those from prior in-between recession periods.
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Monthly 7-5-13

Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not in a recession. The modified S&P Coppock is invested.

Monthly 6-7-13

Based on the historic patterns of the unemployment rate indicators prior to recessions one can reasonably conclude that the U.S. economy is currently not in a recession. The modified S&P Coppock is invested.

With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
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