Stock Market/S&P500

2014-09-23 Minimum Volatility Stocks: Out-Of-Sample Performance of iM’s Best12(USMV)

2014-09-11 Vanguard Funds With Dynamic Asset Allocation: Which is the Asset Allocation “that’s right for your situation”?

2014-09-03 Vanguard’s Actively Managed Funds With Dynamic Asset Allocation: The Best Bet For High Returns

2014-08-06 iM’s Improved Floor-Leverage Rule with Put Option Insurance

2014-07-18 More Retirement Income with iM’s Improved Floor-Leverage Rule: 6.5% Safe Withdrawal Rate

2014-06-27 Minimum Volatility Stocks: Better Tax Efficient Returns also during Rising Markets

2014-06-05 Backtesting the MAC-System: How Long is Long Enough?

2014-01-24 Is There a Best Time of Day to Trade? (co-authored with Anton Vrba)

2014-01-03 Estimating Stock Market Returns to 2020 and Beyond: Update

2013-11-15 The Ultimate Death Cross – One Year Later

2013-11-01 iM-Best1(Sector SPDR) Rotation System

2013-10-26 A Buy Signal from the Modified Coppock Indicator for the S&P 500

013-10-04 Better Returns from World Markets with iM-Best(SPY-SH) Market Timing System

2013-09-19 iM-Best(SSO-SDS): Beating the Market with Leveraged ETFs

2013-09-11 iM-Best(SPY-Cash) Market Timing System: Gains in Up Markets – Cash in Down Markets

2013-08-30 iM-Best(SPY-SH) Market Timing System: Gains for Up and Down Markets

2013-07-09 iM-Best10(S&P1500): A Portfolio Management System for High Returns from the S&P 1500 (co-authored with Anton Vrba)

2013-06-24 Survivorship Bias: neither Myth nor Fact (co-authored with Anton Vrba)

2013-06-11 iM-Best10+: A Portfolio Management System for Very High Returns

2013-06-06 iM-Best10: A Portfolio Management System for High Returns

2013-05-14 MAC-Australia: A Moving Average Crossover System for Superannuation Asset Allocations

2013-04-29 iM’s Business Cycle Index in Off-Peak-Mode; Long Recession Leads and Good Stock-Market Exit Signals (co-authored with Anton Vrba)

2013-04-24 Exit Signals for the Stock Market from iM’s Business Cycle Index (co-authored with Anton Vrba)

2013-03-27 A Modified Coppock Indicator for the S&P

2013-03-18 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Sell Signal

2012-11-19 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Sell Signal (this signal was generated due to ECRI’s WLI being adversely affected for 3 weeks by unusually high initial claims for unemployment insurance after hurricane Sandy. When normal claims figures were used to produce an adjusted WLI for this period then the model did not generate this sell signal. The sell signal was therefore retroactively discarded.)

2012-11-12 So where is the Ultimate Death Cross, Mr. Edwards?

2012-10-17 Maximizing Profits in a Low Stock Return Environment

2012-09-10 The Improved MAC-System

2012-08-20 Estimating Stock Market Returns to 2020 and Beyond

2012-08-14 Is the Next Great Bull Market Already Here?

2012-08-09 Get Ready for the Next Great Bull Market

2012-08-03 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Buy Signal

2012-08-02 Market Timing – The Better Way to Invest

2012-07-31 Beyond the Ultimate Death Cross

2012-07-24 Anticipating the Ultimate Death Cross

2012-07-24 The Ultimate Death Cross – False Harbinger of Doom

2012-06-20 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Basic-Sell Signal

2011-12-13 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Buy Signal

2011-08-02 Does Citigroup’s Panic/Euphoria Model Work?

2011-06-07 Improving on Buy and Hold: When is the Best Time to Sell

2011-05-17 Improving on Buy and Hold: An Initial Sell Signal

2011-01-04 Improving on Buy and Hold: Update December 31, 2010

2010-12-21 Challenging John Hussman’s Forecast

2010-10-26 Improving on Buy and Hold: Buy

2010-10-05 Improving on Buy and Hold: Don’t Buy Yet

2010-09-28 Improving on Buy and Hold: The Updated Signals

2010-08-24 Improving on Buy and Hold: Asset Allocation using Economic Indicators

With reference to Section 202(a)(11)(D) of the Investment Advisers Act: We are Engineers and not Investment Advisers, read more ...
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