2013-11-15 The Ultimate Death Cross – One Year Later
2013-11-01 iM-Best1(Sector SPDR) Rotation System
2013-08-12 Gold: When Will the Next Buy Signal Emerge?
2013-07-09 iM-Best10(S&P1500): A Portfolio Management System for High Returns from the S&P 1500 (co-authored with Anton Vrba)
2013-07-02 Gold: How Much Lower Will it Go?
2013-06-29 Seeking Beta in the Bond Market: Avoid Bonds
2013-06-24 Survivorship Bias: neither Myth nor Fact (co-authored with Anton Vrba)
2013-05-02 The True Workforce Participation Rate and Employment to Workforce Ratio Signal a Growing Economy (Anton Vrba)
2013-04-29 iM’s Business Cycle Index in Off-Peak-Mode; Long Recession Leads and Good Stock-Market Exit Signals (co-authored with Anton Vrba)
2013-04-24 Exit Signals for the Stock Market from iM’s Business Cycle Index (co-authored with Anton Vrba)
2013-04-22 iM’s Weekly Business Cycle Index; 11 Week Average Warning for the Past 7 Recessions with No False Positives (co-authored with Anton Vrba)
2013-04-17 Silver Outshines Gold: A Buy Signal
2013-04-02 Does ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index Remain a Usable Indicator? (co-authored with Anton Vrba)
2013-03-27 A Modified Coppock Indicator for the S&P
2013-03-25 Why is M2 Still a Component of ECRI’s WLI? (co-authored with Anton Vrba)
2013-03-18 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Sell Signal
2013-01-03 Is it Time to Buy Gold Again?
2012-11-19 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Sell Signal (this signal was generated due to ECRI’s WLI being adversely affected for 3 weeks by unusually high initial claims for unemployment insurance after hurricane Sandy. When normal claims figures were used to produce an adjusted WLI for this period then the model did not generate this sell signal. The sell signal was therefore retroactively discarded.)
2012-09-10 The Improved MAC-System
2012-08-23 Gold-Is the Price Too High
2012-08-14 Is the Next Great Bull Market Already Here?
2012-08-09 Get Ready for the Next Great Bull Market
2012-08-03 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Buy Signal
2012-08-02 Market Timing – The Better Way to Invest
2012-07-31 Beyond the Ultimate Death Cross
2012-07-24 Anticipating the Ultimate Death Cross
2012-04-17 The Unemployment Rate: A Coincident Recession Indicator (*)
2012-03-02 The Elusive 2012 Recession: When Can We Expect It? (*)
2012-02-21 Evaluating Popular Recession Indicators
2012-01-17 Further Improving the Use of the ECRI WLI (*)
2011-12-13 Improving on Buy and Hold: A Buy Signal
2011-08-02 Does Citigroup’s Panic/Euphoria Model Work?
2011-07-12 Profiting from the Steep Yield Curve
2010-12-21 Challenging John Hussman’s Forecast
2010-10-26 Improving on Buy and Hold: Buy
2010-10-05 Improving on Buy and Hold: Don’t Buy Yet
(*) co-authored with Dwaine van Vuuren